Street Fighter box office numbers are the top story of the weekend, with Paramount and Legendary’s video game adaptation expected to lead a field of newcomers. According to Variety, the film made $4 million in Thursday previews and is projected to open between $25 million and $35 million. Several new challengers are stepping into the ring this weekend, and Variety’s preview lays out how each one is expected to perform.

The weekend’s field is a mix of genres, with a video game film, a creature thriller, a documentary and a period drama all chasing the same moviegoers. It is also the first release under Paramount’s global distribution deal with Legendary, according to Variety.

Which newcomer should win the weekend?

Street Fighter is the expected leader. Legendary and video game developer Capcom co-financed the film for $82 million. Kitao Sakura directed the new take on the classic fighting games, with Noah Centineo, Andrew Koji, Callina Liang, Jason Momoa and 50 Cent among the colorful brawlers who face off in a high-stakes tournament. Its opening projection is far higher than any other new release in the report.

For longtime fans of the games, the premise is familiar: a tournament, a roster of colorful fighters and a new take on a classic franchise.

Whalefall and the race for second place

Disney’s Whalefall made $900,000 in Thursday previews and is looking to take second with $10 million to $12 million this weekend. Brian Duffield directed the thriller, in which Austin Abrams plays a scuba diver swallowed by a giant sperm whale who must find a way to escape. Whalefall is the only other newcomer forecast in the double digits, based on Variety’s estimate.

The film cost $60 million to produce. Variety describes it as a claustrophobic thriller, and it says positive reviews should give it some staying power.

The Elizabeth Holmes documentary’s rare appeal

A24’s You Can See Everything made $1.75 million in previews and is aiming for third place with $7 million to $8 million. According to Variety, that would be a stellar debut for a nonfiction doc. The movie cost just $7 million to produce and has been building hype since a surprise debut at last month’s Telluride Film Festival. Fans of the games will also recognize the tournament format at the center of the story.

Its budget sets a notable contrast with the rest of the field, since Street Fighter’s $82 million co-financing and Whalefall’s $60 million cost stand well above it.

Directors Nathan Fielder and Lance Oppenheim secretly filmed Holmes ahead of her 11-year prison sentence. They even lived with the former Theranos founder to get full access to her life. Variety says the film is expected to be a rare box office hit for a documentary and could land in this year’s Oscar race.

For fans tracking the weekend, the most interesting comparison may be between Street Fighter’s opening and the documentary’s debut, which Variety calls stellar for a nonfiction film.

Sense and Sensibility’s place in the mix

Focus Features’ Jane Austen adaptation of Sense and Sensibility cost $25 million and is on track to make $5 million to $8 million this weekend. It made $1.15 million from advance screenings and previews, and its projection is the lowest of the four new releases Variety highlights. Its $25 million budget ranks third among the four films, behind Street Fighter and Whalefall.

Daisy Edgar-Jones and Esmé Creed-Miles star as Elinor and Marianne Dashwood, who navigate love, loss and financial uncertainty after they are forced to leave their family estate in Sussex.

Taken together, the weekend’s new releases form a crowded top tier. Every figure here is a projection or preview number from Variety’s reporting, so the final results will show how the projections held up.

Quick answers

How much did Street Fighter cost to make?
Legendary and video game developer Capcom co-financed the film for $82 million, according to Variety.

Who directed the Elizabeth Holmes documentary You Can See Everything?
Nathan Fielder and Lance Oppenheim directed the film, which is from A24 and cost $7 million to produce.

How much did Whalefall cost to produce?
Disney’s Whalefall cost $60 million to produce, and Brian Duffield directed the film.

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Source: Variety